Logistic Regression

**Notes**
Output Created		10-FEB-2003 12:45:07
Comments
Input	Data	C:\My Documents\Alison\SPSS\pcyl.sav
	Filter	<none>
	Weight	<none>
	Split File	<none>
	N of Rows in Working Data File	978
Missing Value Handling	Definition of Missing	User-defined missing values are treated as missing
Syntax		LOGISTIC REGRESSION VAR=status /METHOD=FSTEP(LR) dist_roa dist_wet dist_for dist_non elevatio aspect_t slope for_perc wet_perc non_perc tc_dist so_dist rv_dist rclam_di rcat_dis pc_dist nv_dist ns_dist hc_dist bf_dist am_dist ac_dist nwet nnonfor nfor ndist /SAVE PRED /CLASSPLOT /CASEWISE /PRINT=GOODFIT SUMMARY /CRITERIA PIN(.05) POUT(.10) ITERATE(20) CUT(.5) .
Variables Created or Modified	PRE_1	Predicted probability
Resources	Elapsed Time	0:00:01.98

**Case Processing Summary**
Unweighted Cases(a)		N	Percent
Selected Cases	Included in Analysis	977	99.9
	Missing Cases	1	.1
	Total	978	100.0
Unselected Cases		0	.0
Total		978	100.0
a If weight is in effect, see classification table for the total number of cases.

**Dependent Variable Encoding**
Original Value	Internal Value
Absent	0
Present	1

Block 0: Beginning Block

**Classification Table(a,b)**
			Predicted
			STATUS		Percentage Correct
	Observed		Absent	Present	Percentage Correct
Step 0	STATUS	Absent	939	0	100.0
	STATUS	Present	38	0	.0
	Overall Percentage				96.1
a Constant is included in the model.
b The cut value is .500

**Variables in the Equation**
		B	S.E.	Wald	df	Sig.	Exp(B)
Step 0	Constant	-3.207	.165	375.678	1	.000	.040

**Variables not in the Equation(a)**
			Score	df	Sig.
Step 0	Variables	DIST_ROA	32.916	1	.000
		DIST_WET	.321	1	.571
		DIST_FOR	5.714	1	.017
		DIST_NON	1.499	1	.221
		ELEVATIO	.340	1	.560
		ASPECT_T	.862	1	.353
		SLOPE	3.565	1	.059
		FOR_PERC	11.273	1	.001
		WET_PERC	4.840	1	.028
		NON_PERC	5.409	1	.020
		TC_DIST	.840	1	.360
		SO_DIST	2.152	1	.142
		RV_DIST	9.514	1	.002
		RCLAM_DI	2.393	1	.122
		RCAT_DIS	1.423	1	.233
		PC_DIST	7.290	1	.007
		NV_DIST	.276	1	.599
		NS_DIST	10.523	1	.001
		HC_DIST	1.873	1	.171
		BF_DIST	9.014	1	.003
		AM_DIST	.199	1	.655
		AC_DIST	17.936	1	.000
		NWET	3.527	1	.060
		NNONFOR	4.193	1	.041
		NFOR	11.726	1	.001
		NDIST	3.098	1	.078
a Residual Chi-Squares are not computed because of redundancies.

Block 1: Method = Forward Stepwise (Likelihood Ratio)

**Omnibus Tests of Model Coefficients**
		Chi-square	df	Sig.
Step 1	Step	18.694	1	.000
	Block	18.694	1	.000
	Model	18.694	1	.000
Step 2	Step	11.450	1	.001
	Block	30.144	2	.000
	Model	30.144	2	.000
Step 3	Step	7.888	1	.005
	Block	38.033	3	.000
	Model	38.033	3	.000
Step 4	Step	4.801	1	.028
	Block	42.834	4	.000
	Model	42.834	4	.000
Step 5	Step	4.196	1	.041
	Block	47.029	5	.000
	Model	47.029	5	.000

**Model Summary**
Step	-2 Log likelihood	Cox & Snell R Square	Nagelkerke R Square
1	302.572	.019	.068
2	291.123	.030	.108
3	283.234	.038	.136
4	278.433	.043	.153
5	274.237	.047	.168

**Hosmer and Lemeshow Test**
Step	Chi-square	df	Sig.
1	17.240	4	.002
2	8.895	8	.351
3	14.214	8	.076
4	12.876	8	.116
5	7.463	8	.488

**Contingency Table for Hosmer and Lemeshow Test**
		STATUS = Absent		STATUS = Present		Total
		Observed	Expected	Observed	Expected	Total
Step 1	1	319	313.733	3	8.267	322
	2	229	223.290	1	6.710	230
	3	115	114.192	3	3.808	118
	4	100	103.201	7	3.799	107
	5	89	92.758	8	4.242	97
	6	87	91.823	16	11.177	103
Step 2	1	94	93.547	1	1.453	95
	2	86	85.525	1	1.475	87
	3	103	102.108	1	1.892	104
	4	97	94.999	0	2.001	97
	5	96	96.630	3	2.370	99
	6	97	95.239	1	2.761	98
	7	94	97.635	7	3.365	101
	8	96	95.044	3	3.956	99
	9	93	92.865	5	5.135	98
	10	83	85.401	16	13.599	99
Step 3	1	98	98.149	1	.851	99
	2	97	96.860	1	1.140	98
	3	98	96.553	0	1.447	98
	4	97	96.247	1	1.753	98
	5	97	95.838	1	2.162	98
	6	96	95.324	2	2.676	98
	7	96	94.652	2	3.348	98
	8	94	93.620	4	4.380	98
	9	84	91.830	14	6.170	98
	10	82	79.928	12	14.072	94
Step 4	1	96	97.325	2	.675	98
	2	98	97.034	0	.966	98
	3	98	96.738	0	1.262	98
	4	96	96.394	2	1.606	98
	5	98	96.016	0	1.984	98
	6	97	96.482	2	2.518	99
	7	98	94.694	0	3.306	98
	8	92	93.740	6	4.260	98
	9	89	91.812	9	6.188	98
	10	77	78.767	17	15.233	94
Step 5	1	98	97.390	0	.610	98
	2	96	97.007	2	.993	98
	3	97	96.775	1	1.225	98
	4	98	96.539	0	1.461	98
	5	98	96.112	0	1.888	98
	6	97	95.636	1	2.364	98
	7	95	94.868	3	3.132	98
	8	92	93.714	6	4.286	98
	9	90	92.085	8	5.915	98
	10	78	78.875	17	16.125	95

**Classification Table(a)**
			Predicted
			STATUS		Percentage Correct
	Observed		Absent	Present	Percentage Correct
Step 1	STATUS	Absent	938	1	99.9
	STATUS	Present	38	0	.0
	Overall Percentage				96.0
Step 2	STATUS	Absent	937	2	99.8
	STATUS	Present	38	0	.0
	Overall Percentage				95.9
Step 3	STATUS	Absent	937	2	99.8
	STATUS	Present	38	0	.0
	Overall Percentage				95.9
Step 4	STATUS	Absent	937	2	99.8
	STATUS	Present	38	0	.0
	Overall Percentage				95.9
Step 5	STATUS	Absent	936	3	99.7
	STATUS	Present	38	0	.0
	Overall Percentage				95.8
a The cut value is .500

**Variables in the Equation**
		B	S.E.	Wald	df	Sig.	Exp(B)
Step 1(a)	DIST_ROA	.004	.001	24.005	1	.000	1.004
Step 1(a)	Constant	-3.636	.208	305.057	1	.000	.026
Step 2(b)	DIST_ROA	.004	.001	19.225	1	.000	1.004
	AC_DIST	.001	.000	13.023	1	.000	1.001
	Constant	-4.180	.285	214.710	1	.000	.015
Step 3(c)	DIST_ROA	.004	.001	18.102	1	.000	1.004
	FOR_PERC	1.342	.501	7.174	1	.007	3.828
	AC_DIST	.001	.000	8.578	1	.003	1.001
	Constant	-4.925	.434	128.834	1	.000	.007
Step 4(d)	DIST_ROA	.004	.001	16.742	1	.000	1.004
	FOR_PERC	1.277	.497	6.602	1	.010	3.586
	BF_DIST	.000	.000	5.014	1	.025	1.000
	AC_DIST	.001	.000	8.056	1	.005	1.001
	Constant	-5.375	.492	119.142	1	.000	.005
Step 5(e)	DIST_ROA	.004	.001	18.999	1	.000	1.004
	FOR_PERC	1.263	.505	6.251	1	.012	3.537
	NV_DIST	-.001	.000	3.766	1	.052	.999
	BF_DIST	.000	.000	5.368	1	.021	1.000
	AC_DIST	.001	.000	10.256	1	.001	1.001
	Constant	-5.097	.506	101.549	1	.000	.006
a Variable(s) entered on step 1: DIST_ROA.
b Variable(s) entered on step 2: AC_DIST.
c Variable(s) entered on step 3: FOR_PERC.
d Variable(s) entered on step 4: BF_DIST.
e Variable(s) entered on step 5: NV_DIST.

**Variables not in the Equation(a)**
			Score	df	Sig.
Step 1	Variables	DIST_WET	.407	1	.524
		DIST_FOR	5.541	1	.019
		DIST_NON	.103	1	.748
		ELEVATIO	.139	1	.709
		ASPECT_T	.570	1	.450
		SLOPE	2.655	1	.103
		FOR_PERC	11.226	1	.001
		WET_PERC	5.009	1	.025
		NON_PERC	4.559	1	.033
		TC_DIST	1.875	1	.171
		SO_DIST	2.360	1	.124
		RV_DIST	5.228	1	.022
		RCLAM_DI	2.198	1	.138
		RCAT_DIS	.451	1	.502
		PC_DIST	6.448	1	.011
		NV_DIST	1.946	1	.163
		NS_DIST	5.520	1	.019
		HC_DIST	1.007	1	.316
		BF_DIST	7.129	1	.008
		AM_DIST	.429	1	.513
		AC_DIST	13.880	1	.000
		NWET	3.952	1	.047
		NNONFOR	3.558	1	.059
		NFOR	9.491	1	.002
		NDIST	1.611	1	.204
Step 2	Variables	DIST_WET	.178	1	.673
		DIST_FOR	4.168	1	.041
		DIST_NON	.001	1	.975
		ELEVATIO	.000	1	.984
		ASPECT_T	.918	1	.338
		SLOPE	.829	1	.363
		FOR_PERC	7.563	1	.006
		WET_PERC	2.320	1	.128
		NON_PERC	4.091	1	.043
		TC_DIST	1.972	1	.160
		SO_DIST	.983	1	.321
		RV_DIST	.058	1	.809
		RCLAM_DI	.068	1	.794
		RCAT_DIS	.042	1	.837
		PC_DIST	3.408	1	.065
		NV_DIST	3.855	1	.050
		NS_DIST	.003	1	.956
		HC_DIST	.069	1	.793
		BF_DIST	5.908	1	.015
		AM_DIST	.540	1	.462
		NWET	1.690	1	.194
		NNONFOR	3.414	1	.065
		NFOR	5.606	1	.018
		NDIST	1.120	1	.290
Step 3	Variables	DIST_WET	1.011	1	.315
		DIST_FOR	.011	1	.917
		DIST_NON	.232	1	.630
		ELEVATIO	.040	1	.841
		ASPECT_T	1.164	1	.281
		SLOPE	.010	1	.921
		WET_PERC	.049	1	.825
		NON_PERC	3.139	1	.076
		TC_DIST	2.890	1	.089
		SO_DIST	.780	1	.377
		RV_DIST	.025	1	.876
		RCLAM_DI	.028	1	.867
		RCAT_DIS	.213	1	.644
		PC_DIST	2.404	1	.121
		NV_DIST	3.558	1	.059
		NS_DIST	.034	1	.854
		HC_DIST	.086	1	.769
		BF_DIST	5.148	1	.023
		AM_DIST	.237	1	.626
		NWET	.358	1	.550
		NNONFOR	2.478	1	.115
		NFOR	2.330	1	.127
		NDIST	.453	1	.501
Step 4	Variables	DIST_WET	1.305	1	.253
		DIST_FOR	.085	1	.770
		DIST_NON	.284	1	.594
		ELEVATIO	.026	1	.871
		ASPECT_T	1.224	1	.269
		SLOPE	.001	1	.975
		WET_PERC	.030	1	.863
		NON_PERC	2.890	1	.089
		TC_DIST	2.953	1	.086
		SO_DIST	.022	1	.883
		RV_DIST	.004	1	.949
		RCLAM_DI	.029	1	.865
		RCAT_DIS	1.397	1	.237
		PC_DIST	2.369	1	.124
		NV_DIST	3.853	1	.050
		NS_DIST	.164	1	.685
		HC_DIST	.017	1	.896
		AM_DIST	.212	1	.645
		NWET	.185	1	.667
		NNONFOR	2.694	1	.101
		NFOR	1.609	1	.205
		NDIST	.248	1	.619
Step 5	Variables	DIST_WET	.984	1	.321
		DIST_FOR	.009	1	.924
		DIST_NON	.381	1	.537
		ELEVATIO	.040	1	.841
		ASPECT_T	1.196	1	.274
		SLOPE	.020	1	.889
		WET_PERC	.072	1	.788
		NON_PERC	2.724	1	.099
		TC_DIST	1.965	1	.161
		SO_DIST	.314	1	.575
		RV_DIST	.021	1	.885
		RCLAM_DI	.688	1	.407
		RCAT_DIS	.255	1	.614
		PC_DIST	1.361	1	.243
		NS_DIST	.040	1	.841
		HC_DIST	.019	1	.890
		AM_DIST	.013	1	.908
		NWET	.294	1	.588
		NNONFOR	2.850	1	.091
		NFOR	1.820	1	.177
		NDIST	.189	1	.664
a Residual Chi-Squares are not computed because of redundancies.

**Step Summary(a,b)**
	Improvement			Model			Correct Class %	Variable
Step	Chi-square	df	Sig.	Chi-square	df	Sig.	Correct Class %	Variable
1	18.694	1	.000	18.694	1	.000	96.0%	IN: DIST_ROA
2	11.450	1	.001	30.144	2	.000	95.9%	IN: AC_DIST
3	7.888	1	.005	38.033	3	.000	95.9%	IN: FOR_PERC
4	4.801	1	.028	42.834	4	.000	95.9%	IN: BF_DIST
5	4.196	1	.041	47.029	5	.000	95.8%	IN: NV_DIST
a No more variables can be deleted from or added to the current model.
b End block: 1

             Step number: 1

             Observed Groups and Predicted Probabilities

     800 ô                                                            ô
         ó                                                            ó
         ó                                                            ó
F        ó A                                                          ó
R    600 ô A                                                          ô
E        ó A                                                          ó
Q        ó A                                                          ó
U        ó A                                                          ó
E    400 ô A                                                          ô
N        ó A                                                          ó
C        ó A                                                          ó
Y        ó A                                                          ó
     200 ô AA                                                         ô
         ó AA                                                         ó
         ó AA                                                         ó
         ó AAAP                                                       ó
Predicted òòòòòòòòòòòòòòôòòòòòòòòòòòòòòôòòòòòòòòòòòòòòôòòòòòòòòòòòòòòò
  Prob:   0            .25            .5             .75             1
  Group:  AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPP

          Predicted Probability is of Membership for Present
          The Cut Value is .50
          Symbols: A - Absent
                   P - Present
          Each Symbol Represents 50 Cases.





             Step number: 2

             Observed Groups and Predicted Probabilities

     800 ô                                                            ô
         ó                                                            ó
         ó                                                            ó
F        ó                                                            ó
R    600 ô                                                            ô
E        ó P                                                          ó
Q        ó A                                                          ó
U        ó A                                                          ó
E    400 ô A                                                          ô
N        ó A                                                          ó
C        ó A                                                          ó
Y        ó A                                                          ó
     200 ô AP                                                         ô
         ó AA                                                         ó
         óAAA                                                         ó
         óAAAA                                                        ó
Predicted òòòòòòòòòòòòòòôòòòòòòòòòòòòòòôòòòòòòòòòòòòòòôòòòòòòòòòòòòòòò
  Prob:   0            .25            .5             .75             1
  Group:  AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPP

          Predicted Probability is of Membership for Present
          The Cut Value is .50
          Symbols: A - Absent
                   P - Present
          Each Symbol Represents 50 Cases.





             Step number: 3

             Observed Groups and Predicted Probabilities

     320 ôAA                                                          ô
         óAA                                                          ó
         óAA                                                          ó
F        óAA                                                          ó
R    240 ôAA                                                          ô
E        óAA                                                          ó
Q        óAA                                                          ó
U        óAA                                                          ó
E    160 ôAA                                                          ô
N        óAAA                                                         ó
C        óAAA                                                         ó
Y        óAAA                                                         ó
      80 ôAAAA                                                        ô
         óAAAA                                                        ó
         óAAAAPA                                                      ó
         óAAAAAA                                                      ó
Predicted òòòòòòòòòòòòòòôòòòòòòòòòòòòòòôòòòòòòòòòòòòòòôòòòòòòòòòòòòòòò
  Prob:   0            .25            .5             .75             1
  Group:  AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPP

          Predicted Probability is of Membership for Present
          The Cut Value is .50
          Symbols: A - Absent
                   P - Present
          Each Symbol Represents 20 Cases.





             Step number: 4

             Observed Groups and Predicted Probabilities

     400 ô                                                            ô
         ó                                                            ó
         óA                                                           ó
F        óA                                                           ó
R    300 ôA                                                           ô
E        óAA                                                          ó
Q        óAA                                                          ó
U        óAA                                                          ó
E    200 ôAA                                                          ô
N        óAA                                                          ó
C        óAAA                                                         ó
Y        óAAA                                                         ó
     100 ôAAA                                                         ô
         óAAA                                                         ó
         óAAAAP                                                       ó
         óAAAAAA                                                      ó
Predicted òòòòòòòòòòòòòòôòòòòòòòòòòòòòòôòòòòòòòòòòòòòòôòòòòòòòòòòòòòòò
  Prob:   0            .25            .5             .75             1
  Group:  AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPP

          Predicted Probability is of Membership for Present
          The Cut Value is .50
          Symbols: A - Absent
                   P - Present
          Each Symbol Represents 25 Cases.





             Step number: 5

             Observed Groups and Predicted Probabilities

     400 ô                                                            ô
         óA                                                           ó
         óA                                                           ó
F        óA                                                           ó
R    300 ôA                                                           ô
E        óAA                                                          ó
Q        óAA                                                          ó
U        óAA                                                          ó
E    200 ôAA                                                          ô
N        óAA                                                          ó
C        óAA                                                          ó
Y        óAAA                                                         ó
     100 ôAAA                                                         ô
         óAAAA                                                        ó
         óAAAA                                                        ó
         óAAAAA  P                                                    ó
Predicted òòòòòòòòòòòòòòôòòòòòòòòòòòòòòôòòòòòòòòòòòòòòôòòòòòòòòòòòòòòò
  Prob:   0            .25            .5             .75             1
  Group:  AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPP

          Predicted Probability is of Membership for Present
          The Cut Value is .50
          Symbols: A - Absent
                   P - Present
          Each Symbol Represents 25 Cases.

**Casewise List**
	Selected Status(a)	Observed	Predicted	Predicted Group	Temporary Variable
Case	Selected Status(a)	STATUS	Predicted	Predicted Group	Resid	ZResid
1	S	A	.009	A	-.009	-.098
2	S	A	.017	A	-.017	-.131
3	S	A	.018	A	-.018	-.136
4	S	A	.006	A	-.006	-.079
5	S	A	.009	A	-.009	-.098
6	S	A	.014	A	-.014	-.119
7	S	A	.045	A	-.045	-.218
8	S	A	.027	A	-.027	-.166
9	S	A	.061	A	-.061	-.256
10	S	A	.026	A	-.026	-.164
11	S	A	.013	A	-.013	-.115
12	S	A	.011	A	-.011	-.107
13	S	A	.061	A	-.061	-.256
14	S	A	.026	A	-.026	-.163
15	S	A	.029	A	-.029	-.173
16	S	A	.032	A	-.032	-.182
17	S	A	.032	A	-.032	-.182
18	S	A	.063	A	-.063	-.259
19	S	A	.012	A	-.012	-.108
20	S	A	.019	A	-.019	-.139
21	S	A	.024	A	-.024	-.158
22	S	A	.024	A	-.024	-.158
23	S	A	.046	A	-.046	-.220
24	S	A	.055	A	-.055	-.241
25	S	A	.040	A	-.040	-.204
26	S	A	.054	A	-.054	-.238
27	S	A	.127	A	-.127	-.381
28	S	A	.013	A	-.013	-.116
29	S	A	.020	A	-.020	-.144
30	S	A	.075	A	-.075	-.285
31	S	A	.131	A	-.131	-.389
32	S	A	.037	A	-.037	-.196
33	S	A	.020	A	-.020	-.141
34	S	A	.006	A	-.006	-.079
35	S	A	.029	A	-.029	-.172
36	S	A	.025	A	-.025	-.160
37	S	A	.023	A	-.023	-.155
38	S	A	.028	A	-.028	-.171
39	S	A	.046	A	-.046	-.219
40	S	A	.063	A	-.063	-.259
41	S	A	.012	A	-.012	-.108
42	S	A	.076	A	-.076	-.286
43	S	A	.026	A	-.026	-.162
44	S	A	.015	A	-.015	-.125
45	S	A	.014	A	-.014	-.121
46	S	A	.031	A	-.031	-.179
47	S	A	.019	A	-.019	-.140
48	S	A	.012	A	-.012	-.111
49	S	A	.061	A	-.061	-.254
50	S	A	.038	A	-.038	-.197
51	S	A	.055	A	-.055	-.242
52	S	A	.013	A	-.013	-.115
53	S	A	.036	A	-.036	-.194
54	S	A	.017	A	-.017	-.131
55	S	A	.006	A	-.006	-.075
56	S	A	.029	A	-.029	-.171
57	S	A	.008	A	-.008	-.087
58	S	A	.026	A	-.026	-.164
59	S	A	.011	A	-.011	-.108
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